Top Pros' Top Picks 9/3/25

Mike Larson | Editor-in-Chief

Stocks slumped as bonds got dumped yesterday. But gold and silver surged again, with the former hitting a record high. We’re seeing a similar – though more muted – dynamic today. Crude oil and the dollar are modestly lower.

Out of bonds, into gold. That seems to be the trade this week…and really, for the last several months. This week alone, 30-year bond yields in the UK hit the highest since 1998 while yields on 20-year Japanese notes hit the highest since Y2K. The 30-year came within a whisker of breaching 5% to the upside here in the US, too.

What’s behind the global bond market rout? Governments are buried in debt and either unable or unwilling to implement policies that would fix the problem. Progress on the inflation front has slowed amid rising tariffs and higher input costs.

Source: Bloomberg

Meanwhile, Investors have been rattled by threats to central bank independence. That’s particularly true here in the US where President Trump is trying to stack the Federal Reserve with friendly policymakers. Plus, more institutional managers are abandoning the “60/40” portfolio model (60% stocks, 40% bonds). They’re turning to models that incorporate alternative and hard assets instead – including precious metals like gold.

In antitrust news, Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) caught a break when a US district court judge avoided slapping the Big Tech firm with the harshest penalties he could have chosen. Judge Amit P. Mehta ruled last year that Google had a search monopoly, but didn’t force the company to sell its Chrome browser business in this week's remedy ruling. Google also won’t have to abandon certain distribution payments and procedures, a boon to it and its partner Apple Inc. (AAPL). GOOGL and AAPL shares rose in response.

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MARKET OVERVIEW

S&P 500

6,415.54 (-0.69%) ↓

VIX

17.37 (+1.16%) ↑

Dow Jones Industrial Average

45,295.81 (-0.55%) ↓

Gold

$3,611.30 per ounce (+0.53%) ↑

Nasdaq Composite

21,279.63 (-0.5%) ↓

Oil

$64.38 per barrel (-1.84%) ↓

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TOP INVESTING IDEA

At the MoneyShow Masters Symposium Las Vegas this July, Bear Traps Report founder Larry McDonald delivered a blunt, fast-paced macro briefing on why the Federal Reserve has lost control of the narrative and why that could fuel volatility across bonds, equities, and commodities.

He also called out the explosive shift in capital away from traditional 60/40 portfolios and into those more focused on hard assets – and offered a framework for navigating the chaos with tactical macro positioning.

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FEATURED PICKS FROM MONEYSHOW EXPERTS
  • ETFs: As Funds Proliferate, Investors Should Keep THIS in Mind
    👉️ TICKER: SPY
    If a new product improves on something by making it cheaper or faster, then there will be demand for that product. Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have made it cheaper and faster to make trades that involve more than just buying or selling a single stock. But just because an ETF exists doesn’t mean it will be suitable for your portfolio, writes Sam Ro, editor of Tker.co.

  • NTAP: An Attractive Data Management and Cloud Storage Play
    👉️ TICKER: NTAP
    NetApp Inc. (NTAP) reported a good fiscal Q1, but shares plunged in after-hours trading on Wednesday, before recouping all those losses and then some by soaring on Thursday, only to sink anew on Friday. For the full week, shares advanced more than 2%, even as the storage and data management concern offered only a modestly positive outlook, highlights John Buckingham, editor of The Prudent Speculator.

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LARSON'S LINKS
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UPCOMING EVENTS

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