Top Pros' Top Picks 8/20/25

Mike Larson | Editor-in-Chief

The averages are flatlining today after a very interesting trading day on Tuesday. Gold is popping along with crude oil, while Treasuries and the dollar are treading water.

I’m calling it the “Out of Palantir, Into Pampers” stock market rotation. We saw a vicious move yesterday, with investors selling “Big Tech” and Artificial Intelligence (AI) leaders like Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) and buying names like Pampers-manufacturer Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) that had previously lagged.

In fact, we’ve seen a more-modest rotational trend on-and-off for the last couple of weeks. Since Aug. 1, for instance, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) has gained 5.2% -- topping the 2.7% gain for the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ). Sector ETFs that lagged through most of 2025, including the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) and Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV), have also outperformed tech. They gained 3.2% and 4.2% respectively.

IWM, QQQ, XLV, XLP (Aug. 1–20 % Change)

A flood of retail sector earnings is continuing to wash over Wall Street. Target Corp. (TGT) shares fell in early trading after the general merchandise retailer reported a 1.9% drop in comparable store sales from a year ago. Margins also dipped, even as bottom-line profit slightly beat lowered forecasts.

On the flip side, shares of the home improvement giant Lowe’s Cos. (LOW) gained after it reported a 1.1% rise in same-store sales. Adjusted earnings per share beat analyst estimates by 9 cents, and the company said it would buy Foundation Building Materials for $8.8 billion. Acquring the privately held housing products distributor will bolster Lowe’s sales to professional customers and contractors.

Finally, another data center mega-project appears to be coming together in Texas. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. (MUFG) are reportedly underwriting a $22 billion loan to finance construction of the Vantage Data Centers campus. Low electricity costs in Texas are luring data center builders, whose services are in high demand because of the AI boom.

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MARKET OVERVIEW

S&P 500

6,411.37 (-0.59%) ↓

VIX

15.78 (+1.35%) ↑

Dow Jones Industrial Average

44,922.27 (+0.02%) ↑

Gold

$3,385.80 per ounce (+0.81%) ↑

Nasdaq Composite

21,314.95 (-1.46%) ↓

Oil

$63.15 per barrel (+1.28%) ↑

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TOP INVESTING IDEA

Ryan Detrick is chief market strategist at Carson Group. During our MoneyShow Virtual Expo this week, he and I sat down for a “Fireside Chat” on markets. We covered the recent rotational action, the global nature of this bull run, the outlook for gold and cryptocurrencies, and his favorite sectors for the remainder of 2025. Enjoy! 

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FEATURED PICKS FROM MONEYSHOW EXPERTS
  • Consider THESE Stocks if Wealth Tax Push Gains Steam
    👉️ TICKERS: EXR, FAF, PSA, UHAL
    Several states including Rhode Island, Washington, Montana, Hawaii, and Maryland are rolling out new wealth taxes. History is very clear about what’ll happen next. That’s why I am once more eyeing the “box makers” – including companies like U-Haul Holding Co. (UHAL), notes Keith Fitz-Gerald, editor of 5 With Fitz.

  • PRI: An Attractive Stock in the Insurance Sector
    👉️ TICKER: PRI

    Primerica Inc. (PRI) provides term life insurance to middle-income households in the US and Canada. On behalf of third parties, it also offers mutual funds, annuities, and other financial products. Primerica has demonstrated strong historical performance, with its earnings per share growing at a stellar compound annual rate of 15.6% over the past decade, writes Ben Reynolds, editor of Sure Passive Income.

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LARSON'S LINKS

😱 📉 Palantir is colliding with a rotating market and scathing short seller. The top-performing stock of the year has dropped five days in a row. (Opening Bell Daily)

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