Top Pros' Top Picks 8/19/25

Mike Larson | Editor-in-Chief

After a flattish day for stocks yesterday, we’re seeing a flattish start to trading today. Gold and silver are up a bit, while crude oil is pulling back along with the dollar. Treasuries are marking time.

Stocks are holding near record highs. But to get a healthier market advance from here,  it will require other sectors and stocks outside of “Big Tech” to participate. The good news is, we’re seeing that kind of market action.

Bespoke Investment Group noted that over three days last week, the worst-performing 10% of S&P 1,500 so far in 2025 jumped 6.7%. The best performers rose just 1%. Additionally, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is slightly outperforming the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) over the last 1-month and 3-month periods.

IWM Vs. SPY (3-Mo. % Change)

Following rumors that the US government could take a stake in the firm, Intel Corp. (INTC) instead got a $2 billion lifeline from SoftBank Group Corp. (SFTBY). The equity investment will make Japan’s SoftBank one of INTC’s top 10 shareholders, and help fund strategic investments in its contract chip manufacturing operations.

Turns out the Trump Administration’s steel and aluminum tariffs won’t just impact…steel and aluminum. New guidance from the Customs and Border Protection agency extended the tariffs to hundreds of consumer products that contain those metals, including everything from auto parts and motorcycles to tableware and baby booster seats.

Finally, European, US, and Ukrainian negotiators are now working on security arrangements after their latest summit in Washington. President Trump and allied leaders are trying to bolster Ukraine’s military and lay the groundwork for a post-truce peacekeeping force. Direct talks between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky could follow soon, though nothing has been confirmed yet.

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MARKET OVERVIEW

S&P 500

6,449.15 (-0.01%) ↓

VIX

14.98 (-0.07%) ↓

Dow Jones Industrial Average

44,911.82 (-0.08%) ↓

Gold

$3,379.70 per ounce (+0.05%) ↑

Nasdaq Composite

21,629.77 (+0.03%) ↑

Oil

$62.56 per barrel (-1.36%) ↓

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TOP INVESTING IDEA

The debate over what the Federal Reserve will do next — and how those moves will impact markets — is REALLY heating up. So, now is a great time to check out THIS MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast episode from a few weeks ago.

Alejandra Grindal, chief economist at Ned Davis Research, and Kristina Hooper, chief market strategist at Man Group, weighed in then about Powell’s expected policy moves, the US dollar’s decline, and how shifts in mortgage rates are shaping the US economy. They also broke down recession risks, inflation drivers, and whether the best investing and profit opportunities lie abroad or in the US. 

Canadian & US Investors: Don’t Miss the 2025 MoneyShow Toronto!

Get tips, strategies, and actionable recommendations from 50+ top analysts, economists, sector specialists, financial authors, and podcasters Sept. 12-13!

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FEATURED PICKS FROM MONEYSHOW EXPERTS
  • Fed: Which Interest Rate Path Will it Choose this Fall?
    👉️ TICKER: SPY
    Similar to the Scarecrow in The Wizard of Oz offering Dorothy two contradictory paths to the Emerald City, last week’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) data provided conflicting signals, implying the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) might adopt a more cautious stance on lowering interest rates, explains Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.

  • INTA: A Back Office Software Play for this Strong Market
    👉️ TICKER: INTA
    We have much to contemplate this summer vacation…and much to celebrate as markets rally to new highs on a combination of clarity, resilience, and stimulus. Tariffs of 10%-15% are lower than feared – and probably a level everyone can live with. Meanwhile, Intapp, Inc. (INTA) just jumped 15% on a 17% earnings beat and 17% guidance increase, writes Adam Johnson, editor of Bullseye Brief.

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LARSON'S LINKS
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UPCOMING EVENTS
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