Top Pros' Top Picks 7/15/26

Mike Larson | Editor-in-Chief

Stocks, crude oil, and Treasuries are all up a bit in early trading. The dollar is flat along with gold and silver.

The earnings flood is continuing, with Morgan Stanley (MS) and BlackRock Inc. (BLK) becoming the latest “Big Finance” players to trounce estimates. Morgan beat sales and profit estimates, with earnings up 58% year-over-year in the second quarter. Meanwhile, BlackRock topped $15 trillion in assets under management (AUM) in the quarter – while also reporting a 15% rise in adjusted earnings per share and a 31% jump in revenue.

2026 Stock Issuance (IPOs, Secondaries, Convertible Bonds)

Source: Dealogic via the Wall Street Journal

Investment banking activity has been particularly strong – and that raises an important issue. Just last week, I weighed in on “IPO Overload” risk in a video Market Minute. Then I covered the “It’s all relative” counterargument in a Chart of the Day piece. Now, the Wall Street Journal is weighing in with a front-page article called “Blockbuster Stock Sales Are Threatening to Overwhelm the Bull Market.”

It chronicles how companies have sold almost $345 billion in new stock so far in 2026. That’s more than companies sold each year from 2022-2025. Elm Wealth estimates a net $500 billion in equity and debt will get dumped on the market over the next year. That’s a big swing from the $1 trillion drained, on net, in recent years via things like stock buybacks, according to the Journal.

Finally, the AI trade got an extra boost from ASML Holding NV (ASML), the Dutch semiconductor equipment giant. It beat sales and profit forecasts, raised its full-year guidance, and said “ongoing AI-related investments and continued progress in AI technologies are driving demand for advanced Logic and Memory chips, further strengthening the semiconductor industry's growth outlook.” Already up 66.5% year-to-date, ASML stock rose modestly on the news.

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MARKET OVERVIEW

S&P 500

7,543.59 (+0.38%) ↑

VIX

18.62 (-0.5%) ↓

Dow Jones Industrial Average

52,508.27 (+0.02%) ↑

Gold

$4,079 per ounce (+0.23%) ↑

Nasdaq Composite

26,107.01 (+0.9%) ↑

Oil

$79.80 per barrel (+0.58%) ↑

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TOP INVESTING IDEA

With key questions swirling on AI and tech stocks, hot IPOs, Federal Reserve policy, and ongoing tensions in the Middle East, where is an investor to turn? In this MoneyShow + Wolf Financial Livestream, six top experts sit down to provide answers, cover today’s biggest market themes, and discuss the top sectors that could shape the next major move. If you missed it live, do NOT miss the recording! 

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FEATURED PICKS FROM MONEYSHOW EXPERTS
  • NVDA: Buy with the Billionaires as Profits Soar
    👉️ TICKERS: NVDA, QQQ
    We are in the midst of the strongest economic environment in decades, and that is generating robust corporate profits. The truth of the matter is we cannot stop the current technology train, so we must get on board the train, invest with the billionaires, or get left behind, advises Louis Navellier, founder and chairman of Navellier & Associates.

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LARSON'S LINKS

📈Global ETF Survey: How Will You Invest in 2026? Join thousands of ETF investors and share your views in the industry's largest annual ETF survey. Take the short survey. (ETF Central)

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UPCOMING EVENTS
Event Information
Las Vegas MoneyShow Masters Symposium