Top Pros' Top Picks 6/30/26

Mike Larson | Editor-in-Chief

Stocks are mixed in early trading, while crude oil is flat-lining at the end of a volatile quarter. Gold and silver are slightly higher along with the US dollar, while Treasuries and cryptocurrencies are losing ground.

It has been one raucous quarter for the stock market! The S&P 500 Index (^SPX) is on track for its best three-month performance in six years, following an ugly start and a strong finish, while the Nasdaq-100 Index is up 25%. Strong corporate earnings growth, solid economic data, and expectations for a resolution to the Middle East conflict have all combined to drive stocks higher.

Source: Bloomberg

Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index soared 81% – its best quarter ever. But chip stocks also just suffered their worst weekly pullback since last April amid questions about the sustainability of the gains.

Wall Street is making it rain thanks to the market’s strength. Companies raised a record $251 billion via Initial Public Offerings so far this year. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) expects another dozen $1 billion-plus deals to hit the tape in the second half, too.

Finally, the dollar’s strength has been one of the quarter’s biggest surprises. Expectations for tighter Federal Reserve policy and a slump in the Japanese yen to four-decade lows just pushed the US Dollar Index to a 13-month high. That has weighed on assets that get hurt by a higher dollar, including gold. It’s down about 10% in Q2, the sharpest drop in more than a decade.

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MARKET OVERVIEW

S&P 500

7,440.43 (+1.18%) ↑

VIX

17.63 (-0.11%) ↓

Dow Jones Industrial Average

52,182.74 (+0.59%) ↑

Gold

$4,036.50 per ounce (-0.04%) ↓

Nasdaq Composite

25,820.14 (+2.07%) ↑

Oil

$71.43 per barrel (+0.96%) ↑

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TOP INVESTING IDEA

Did you miss our epic MoneyShow + Wolf Financial livestream event last week? If so, be sure to catch the replay HERE!

With key questions swirling on AI and tech stocks, hot IPOs, Federal Reserve policy, and ongoing tensions in the Middle East, six top experts sat down with me to cover today’s biggest market themes — and discuss the top sectors that could shape the next major move.

The episode delves into the wild trading action (globally and in the US) for “Big Tech” on the day of the conversation, plus what it suggests about the future of AI and chip stocks. It also covers market seasonality, the “worst six months” for the market and what to do about them, plus the one fundamental force likely to keep propelling stocks later this year. 

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For the first time, we’re hosting a complimentary Pre-Show Event on Sunday, July 19. The “Show BEFORE the Show” will feature several acclaimed tech sector experts speaking on how to profit from transformative technologies. Plus, it’ll include some of our sharpest trading experts sharing tips and tactics tailor-made for this market environment.

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FEATURED PICKS FROM MONEYSHOW EXPERTS

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LARSON'S LINKS

📈❓Global ETF Survey: How Will You Invest in 2026? Join thousands of ETF investors and share your views in the industry's largest annual ETF survey. Take the short survey. (ETF Central)

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UPCOMING EVENTS